WTI OIL

27 Jun 2025
WTI Oil: 4-hourly and daily chart technical view

Daily Chart: Longer-Term Bias: Bullish

Resistance 75.30 then 79.43
Support

68.95

4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Neutral to Bearish

Resistance

68.95 then 71.58

Support

63.69 then 60.00

Daily Chart: Longer-Term Bias: Bullish

4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Neutral to Bearish

Friday 27th June

The daily chart shows a bullish trend, with the price trading above key moving averages, including the 50-day (pink line) and 200-day (green line) SMAs. The 200-day SMA has recently crossed above the 50-day SMA, which is a classic bullish signal. The price is currently supported by the 200-day SMA, which provides solid long-term support near 68.9505, and has recently tested resistance around 75.3092, with further resistance near 79.4310. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) shows positive divergence, confirming upward momentum, although the price is nearing the overbought zone, which suggests caution as the rally may be losing steam. Traders could target the upside to 75.3092 or 79.4310 with a stop loss just below 68.9505.

The 4-hour chart presents a neutral to bearish outlook, with the price struggling to break above resistance at 68.9505. While the price remains above the 200-period SMA, indicating short-term strength, the Stochastic Momentum Indicator is in overbought territory, signaling potential weakness or a short-term pullback. If the price fails to break through 68.9505, it could face a reversal, with support levels at 63.6900 and 60.0000. The overbought conditions suggest a consolidation or bearish movement could be imminent. Traders should consider shorting near 68.9505 with a stop loss above 71.5891, targeting the downside towards 63.6900.

Daily Chart: Longer-Term Bias: Bullish

4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Neutral to Bearish

Thursday 26th June

The price action in the daily chart shows a neutral longer-term bias. The key levels to focus on are the moving averages and support/resistance zones. The price has recently broken out above the 200-day moving average (green line) at 68.97, a positive signal that indicates some upward momentum. The 50-day moving average (pink line) at 64.17 provides strong support, with the price hovering just above it. Resistance is located around 75.31, with an additional level at 79.43, just below the recent price high. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) is currently in oversold territory, with the stochastic lines showing signs of a bullish crossover, which suggests potential for upside movement. However, momentum appears to be waning, with the SMI reading at -8.97% pointing towards a potential reversal. Traders should watch for a potential rally toward the resistance levels, particularly the 75.31 and 79.43 levels. A stop-loss could be placed below 63.69 to manage downside risk.

The 4-hour chart shows a bearish short-term outlook. The price is currently testing the 200-period moving average (green line) at 65.75, which is acting as resistance after a failed breakout attempt. The 14-period SMA (blue line) and the 50-period SMA (pink line) are providing additional support levels at 66.17 and 72.26, respectively. However, the recent price action shows a lack of conviction for a sustained rally, with the price forming a downward trend after hitting resistance at 75.31. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator is in oversold territory, and the momentum lines have crossed, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The immediate support levels are at 72.26 and 66.17, with a downside target at 60.00 if the selling pressure continues. A potential stop-loss could be placed above 68.97 to protect against an unexpected upside breakout.

Wednesday 25th June

The daily chart presents a neutral bias, showing a consolidation phase in the market. Price action remains within an established range between resistance at 79.4310 and support at 64.1032. The price recently rebounded after testing the lower part of this range, providing an indication of buying interest around these levels. The 50-day SMA (pink line) at 64.1032 and the 200-day SMA (green line) at 68.9550 are acting as support and resistance, respectively, and should be watched closely for any breakouts. . The Stochastic Momentum Indicator is at 12.06%, showing oversold conditions, which suggests that a potential reversal or continuation could be possible. However, as the price is nearing the resistance zone around 79.4310, caution is recommended. A breakout above this level could lead to a retest of the next resistance at 64.1032, but if the price fails to break higher, a pullback towards support at 64.1032 is possible. Traders may consider placing a stop loss just below 64.1032 to protect against downside risks.

On the 4-hour chart, the market shows a bearish short-term outlook. Price has recently failed to hold above the 14-period SMA (blue line) at 70.3204, now trading below the 50-period SMA (pink line) at 73.0965. This indicates that the short-term trend is weakening, and a bearish momentum shift is underway. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator is at -83.03%, deeply oversold, confirming that the recent decline may not be over yet, and further downside is possible. Immediate support is located at 63.6900, with a strong horizontal support zone at 65.6252. If the price continues to face resistance near the 50-period SMA, a pullback could drive the price further down to test these support levels. Traders should watch for a breakdown below 63.6900, with potential for a move towards 60.0000 if selling pressure persists. Given the bearish momentum, a stop loss above 70.3204 is advisable to protect against potential upside moves. The next resistance lies at 73.0965, but the current trend is more aligned with downward pressures.

Tuesday 24th June

WTI crude oil has pulled back sharply after testing the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel marked in orange, failing near the key resistance at USD 79.43 and quickly reversing toward the mid-range. Despite recently breaking above the 200-day SMA (green) at USD 69.00 and the 50-day SMA (pink) at USD 64.00, the current red candle suggests a potential bull trap as the price dropped back through both moving averages. This breakdown under the 14-day SMA (blue) at USD 70.09 and failure to hold above the 200-SMA raises red flags for trend continuation. However, the longer-term descending channel remains intact and the recent rally could still represent a structural retest of that resistance. The Stochastic Momentum Index, while still in positive territory at 34.35%, has shown strong negative divergence from price — forming lower highs while price made higher highs — which warns of deteriorating momentum. Until the price reclaims USD 72.00 with confirmation, the bias shifts to neutral. Key resistance sits at USD 75.30 then USD 79.43, with support at USD 66.69 followed by USD 64.00. A sustained move below USD 66.69 opens the door to a broader downside move, and a stop loss should be considered above USD 72.50 for short positions.

The 4-hour chart paints a clear bearish picture as WTI collapses from the recent high at USD 79.43 to just above the 200-period SMA (green) at USD 65.44. The price has plunged below both the 14-period SMA (blue) at USD 74.08 and the 50-period SMA (pink) at USD 73.38, with these averages now turning downward and potentially acting as dynamic resistance. The sharp breakdown through multiple support levels in a short span indicates heavy selling pressure. The Stochastic Momentum Index is confirming this bearish structure, registering -70.02% with no bullish divergence, indicating persistent downside momentum. The near-vertical drop suggests that a technical rebound may occur, but any rally is likely to be capped near USD 69.00 or the 14-SMA unless momentum reverses. Immediate support rests at the 200-SMA at USD 65.44 followed by the horizontal level at USD 63.69. A failure to hold this region could trigger further selling toward USD 60.00. Resistance is seen at USD 69.00 then USD 74.08. A stop loss above USD 69.50 is advised for bearish setups to manage risk in the event of a sharp reversal.

Monday 23rd June

The daily chart for WTI exhibits a bullish longer-term bias as the price decisively breaks above both the 50-day (pink) and 200-day (green) simple moving averages—currently sitting around 64.09 and 69.07 respectively—confirming a shift in trend structure from consolidation to upward momentum. Price has surged past the horizontal resistance level of 75.62 (now acting as first support), approaching the next resistance zone at 79.43. The breakout from the falling wedge (drawn in orange) reinforces the trend reversal scenario, with the measured move pointing toward 82.34. The 14-day SMA (light blue) is steeply rising and well below the price, supporting the bullish trend. The Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is extended into overbought territory near 68%, but price continues to make higher highs and higher lows, with no negative divergence present—validating sustained bullish momentum. A retracement to 75.62 may offer a higher low setup before the next leg higher. A stop loss should be placed below 72.88 to guard against a failed breakout, while bulls can target 79.43 short-term and 82.34 medium-term if momentum persists.

On the 4-hour timeframe, WTI remains in a bullish short-term uptrend structure, but signs of waning momentum are surfacing. The price has advanced rapidly from the breakout zone below 69 to trade above 79, supported by the 14-period, 50-period, and 200-period moving averages all in bullish alignment (with the 200-SMA around 65 and rising). However, a bearish divergence has emerged on the Stochastic Momentum Index—while price made a higher high into 79.43, the SMI peaked lower around 15.5%, warning of possible exhaustion. This divergence suggests that bullish momentum may fade temporarily, increasing the risk of a near-term pullback toward support at 75.74 (prior breakout level) and possibly down to 72.88 if selling accelerates. That said, the trend remains structurally bullish as long as price holds above the 50-SMA (72.80). A conservative strategy would be to wait for either a successful retest of 75.74 with renewed bullish momentum or a clear breakout and close above 79.43 to confirm continuation toward 82.34. Tight risk management is advised, with stops placed just below 72.88 in the event of a deeper retracement.

Friday 20th June

The daily chart shows a neutral longer-term outlook, with price action moving within a well-defined range. The price is currently above the 200-day moving average (green line), suggesting some upward momentum, though the trend isn’t strongly bullish at the moment. Immediate resistance lies around 75.44, with the next significant level near 75.90. The 50-day (pink) and 14-day (blue) moving averages are supporting the price, but there’s some congestion at these levels, which could be holding the market back from pushing higher. The Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is currently in the overbought territory at 65.53%, signaling that the current bullish momentum may be running out of steam. A consolidation or pullback could be in the cards, particularly if the price fails to breach resistance. Support levels are found at 72.08, 69.02, and 68.69, which will likely act as critical zones if the market retreats. The SMI’s overbought status suggests a possible pullback or sideways action, and traders should consider a stop loss below 68.69 to manage downside risk.

The 4-hour chart shows a clear bullish short-term outlook. The price has been steadily advancing, recently breaking through the resistance around 75.26. The 14-day SMA (blue line) is positioned above the 50-period (pink) and 200-period (green) SMAs, suggesting a continuation of the short-term bullish trend. Resistance is seen at 75.90 and the higher level of 76.00, while support lies at 73.67 and 72.80. The Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is currently at 53.88%, indicating that the price is not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside. However, there is potential for a pullback near the resistance zones, so careful monitoring of momentum and price action around these levels is advised. A stop loss just below 72.80 is recommended to protect against a reversal or pullback, with upside targets at 75.90 and 76.00 if the bullish momentum continues.

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