WTI OIL

17 Sep 2025
WTI Oil: 4-hourly and daily chart technical view

Daily Chart: Longer-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish

Resistance

67.50 then 70.00

Support

63.00 then 60.00

4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Bullish

Resistance

64.70 then 66.00

Support

63.70 then 63.00

Daily Chart: Longer-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish

4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Bullish

Wednesday 17th September

The daily timeframe highlights a market struggling to sustain upside momentum. Price is currently trading around 65.42, sitting just below the 200-day SMA at 67.50, which continues to act as a strong dynamic resistance. The 50-day SMA at 65.42 and the 14-day SMA are compressing beneath the 200-day, reflecting an indecisive structure with a bearish lean given the prolonged downtrend earlier in the year. Attempts to rally have repeatedly failed to break decisively above the 200-day SMA, signalling that sellers are still defending higher levels. Momentum conditions also reflect weakness, with the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at 13.21%, staying close to oversold territory, which suggests limited buying conviction despite the recent base-building. Immediate resistance lies at 67.50, with a further upside target at 70.00 if a breakout above the 200-day SMA is achieved. On the downside, support is seen at 63.00 followed by 60.00, with a close below these levels likely to resume the broader downtrend. A protective stop loss for long positions should be placed under 62.80, while cautious traders may prefer to await a clear break above the 200-day SMA before positioning for the upside.

The 4-hour timeframe shows price rebounding strongly to trade around 64.66, now challenging the 200-period SMA at 64.18 after bouncing off support near 63.00. The short-term structure has improved, with the 14-period SMA crossing above the 50-period SMA at 63.27, signalling early bullish momentum. However, the price is pressing against the 200-period SMA, which has capped gains in previous attempts, making this level critical for direction. Momentum supports the rally, with the SMI at 68.52%, trending higher but nearing overbought territory, which may limit immediate upside potential and suggest short-term consolidation. A confirmed break above 64.70 would strengthen the bullish case, opening the way toward 66.00 as the next upside target. Conversely, failure to clear the 200-period SMA could trigger a pullback toward 63.70 and potentially back to 63.00. For tactical traders, the bias remains cautiously bullish as long as price holds above 63.20, with stops best placed below this level to protect against a reversal.

Daily Chart: Longer-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish

4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Bullish

Tuesday 16th September

The daily timeframe for WTI crude shows a weak technical posture, with price consolidating around 65.83 while remaining capped below the 200-day SMA at 67.54 and the 50-day SMA at 65.49. The 14-day SMA is flat, reflecting the lack of directional conviction. The alignment of moving averages—with both the 50-day and 14-day clustered below the 200-day—signals medium-term bearish pressure, while the failure to hold above the 200-day reinforces overhead resistance. The Stochastic Momentum Index is at -18.13%, indicating weak momentum and lingering bearish undertones, though it is not yet oversold enough to suggest an imminent rebound. No clear bullish divergence has emerged, as momentum continues to confirm sluggish price action. Immediate resistance is set at 67.54, coinciding with the 200-day SMA, followed by a secondary barrier at 70.00. Support is established first at 65.30 and then at 63.00, where price has previously consolidated. The longer-term bias remains neutral to bearish, and traders should exercise caution with long exposure, keeping stop losses tight below 63.00 to guard against renewed downside momentum.

The 4-hour chart reflects a more balanced but indecisive picture, with the price trading at 65.85, sandwiched between the 50-period SMA (63.22) and the 200-period SMA (64.33). The 14-period SMA has recently flattened, showing that immediate selling pressure has stabilised but without enough strength to trigger a decisive breakout. The Stochastic Momentum Index is at 14.20%, turning up from oversold territory, which suggests that short-term downside momentum is easing and a rebound attempt could develop. However, price has yet to reclaim the 200-period SMA at 64.33 decisively, and the overall downward-sloping profile of the longer SMA continues to cap rallies. Immediate resistance lies at 66.00, with further upside potential toward 67.00 if momentum strengthens. On the downside, key support rests at 63.22 (50-period SMA), followed by 62.00 as a psychological floor. The short-term outlook is neutral, with potential for a corrective bounce, but sustained bullish confirmation requires a close above 67.00. Stops for tactical long positions should be set just below 63.20 to minimise risk.


Monday 15th September

The daily timeframe reflects a sustained bearish structure, with price trading below all major moving averages. The 200-day SMA (green, 67.53) is trending downward and acting as a longer-term resistance barrier, while the 50-day SMA (pink, 65.58) and 14-day SMA (blue, 65.89) are aligned lower and flattening, confirming ongoing weakness. Recent price action has failed to sustain moves above the shorter SMAs, suggesting persistent selling pressure on rallies. The Stochastic Momentum Index (–33.92%) has rolled lower from mid-range levels, showing downside momentum in line with price drifting under the moving averages, and no bullish divergence is evident. Immediate resistance sits at 65.89 (14-day SMA), followed by stronger resistance near 67.53 (200-day SMA). On the downside, support is found at 60.00, with a break below exposing the June low near 56.00. The directional bias remains bearish while price remains capped beneath the 50-day SMA, with stops best placed just above 66.00 to manage upside risk.

The 4-hour chart confirms the weak technical setup, with price failing to establish traction above the 14-period SMA (blue) and the 50-period SMA (pink, 63.36), both of which are turning lower and converging. The 200-period SMA (green, 64.54) is trending down, reinforcing the dominance of sellers across timeframes. Price is consolidating just under these averages, indicating that the market lacks buying conviction. The Stochastic Momentum Index (–16.12%) remains in negative territory, reflecting weak momentum, with no divergence to suggest a near-term reversal. Immediate resistance is seen at 63.40–64.50 (cluster of short- and medium-term SMAs), and a push above this zone would be required to neutralise the short-term bearish bias. Support rests at 62.00, with a further downside target at 61.00 if selling pressure extends. With the short-term outlook bearish, traders may favour the downside while keeping stops above 64.50 to guard against a corrective squeeze higher.


Friday 12th September

The daily chart of WTI crude oil displays a neutral outlook, with the price hovering around key moving averages. The 200-period simple moving average (SMA, green line) is providing dynamic support, suggesting that the longer-term trend could remain stable. The price is currently trading near this moving average, showing a consolidation phase. The 50-period SMA (pink line) has recently crossed above the 14-period SMA (blue line), indicating some potential bearish pressure. The price action remains inside a consolidation zone, unable to break above resistance around 68.00, with the next major resistance level at 70.00. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) is currently in neutral territory around -40.30%, indicating that there is no strong momentum in either direction. The price has yet to make a decisive move either way, signaling that traders should wait for a clearer breakout before committing to a position. A bullish move would require a push above the 68.00 level, with an upside target near 70.00. Conversely, if the price breaks below the key moving averages and support around 65.00, a further downside could be expected. A stop loss just below the 65.00 support is recommended to manage risk if a bearish move materializes.

The 4-hour chart presents a bearish short-term outlook for WTI crude oil. The price has recently failed to hold above the 50-period SMA (pink line) and is now testing the lower support around 63.79. The 200-period SMA (green line) is trending lower, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) is in oversold territory at -65.38%, signaling a continuation of the downward momentum. The price action is moving within a descending channel, with resistance around 64.80, followed by 65.00. Immediate support is at 63.50, with a downside target at 62.50 if the price breaks below the current support level. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator suggests that the market could see further downside if the selling pressure continues, although caution is needed as the SMI is close to oversold conditions. Traders should consider a stop loss above 65.00 to protect against a potential short-term reversal.

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