DAX
27 Jun 2025
DAX: 4-hourly and daily chart technical view.
Daily Chart: Longer Term Bias: Bullish
Resistance | 23,500 then 24,000 |
Support |
21,300 then 19,700 |
4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Outlook: Neutral to Bullish
Resistance | 23,400 then 23,800 |
Support |
22,500 then 22,000 |
Daily Chart: Longer Term Bias: Bullish
4-Hour Chart: Short Term Outlook: Neutral to Bullish
Friday 27th June
The daily chart shows a strong upward momentum, with the price consistently trading above the key moving averages. The 200-day moving average (green line) is acting as solid support around the 21,300 level, indicating a bullish trend. The 50-day (pink line) and 14-day (blue line) moving averages are aligned above the 200-day, confirming the strength of the ongoing uptrend. The Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is currently in positive territory, though it has not yet reached overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside potential. Resistance is likely near 23,500, followed by the 24,000 level. Immediate support can be found at 21,300, with the next level of strong support at 19,700. A stop loss below 21,000 is recommended to protect against potential pullbacks. The overall trend remains bullish as long as price maintains its position above the moving averages and the stochastic momentum indicator does not enter overbought territory.
The 4-hour chart displays a more neutral-to-bullish short-term outlook, as the price has recently recovered above key moving averages, including the 200-period SMA (green line) near 23,800. However, the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is at 46%, suggesting that momentum is still positive but not yet in an overbought zone. The price is facing some resistance around the 23,400 level, which is a key short-term hurdle. If this resistance breaks, the next target is 23,800. Support is located at 22,500, and a further downside target could be around 22,000 if the price fails to break the resistance. Traders should consider a stop loss near 22,500 to limit risk in case the upward momentum fades
Daily Chart: Longer Term Bias: Bullish
4 Hour Chart: Short Term Outlook: Neutral to Bullish
Thursday 26th June
The daily chart shows a strong bullish bias as the price is trading above all key moving averages, with the 14-period (blue), 50-period (pink), and 200-period (green) SMAs all trending upwards. The 200-day SMA is acting as a robust support level, preventing significant downside moves. The price has recently broken through resistance around 21,279.315, with the next key resistance near 23,357.098, followed by the all-time high around 24,000. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) is currently trending negatively at -0.62%, showing some exhaustion in momentum, but the general trend remains bullish, suggesting a minor pullback could present a potential buying opportunity. Traders should focus on an upside target near 23,357.098, with support levels at 21,279.315 and 19,676.120. A stop loss near 18,018.002 is recommended to safeguard against any unforeseen reversals.
The 4-hour chart displays a more neutral-to-bearish outlook. The price has been consolidating around the resistance area at 23,811.017, with the 200-period SMA (green line) flattening out, indicating a slowdown in the bullish momentum. The 50-period (pink) and 14-period (blue) SMAs are still providing upward support, but the SMI is deeply negative at -46.75%, showing oversold conditions and potential for further downside. The key support lies at 22,500, with an immediate resistance zone at 23,811.017. If the market breaks below the support at 22,500, further downside towards 21,500 could occur. A conservative strategy would be to monitor for a break below the support level, using a stop loss above the resistance at 23,811.017 to protect from further declines.
Wednesday 25th June
The daily chart reflects a bullish bias, with the price maintaining a strong upward trend, supported by the 200-day moving average (green) at 21,255.264, which is acting as solid support. The price is well above the 50-day moving average (pink) at 23,309.527, confirming continued upward momentum. The Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) at -9.32% shows weakening momentum but remains in oversold territory, indicating that a short-term pullback may occur before the rally resumes. Immediate resistance is at 23,396.239, with a more significant target at 23,813.944. Traders should focus on an upside target near 23,813.944, with a stop loss placed below 22,000 for protection against any potential pullbacks.
The 4-hour chart suggests a neutral short-term outlook as the price is approaching the upper boundary of an ascending channel. The price has found support at the 200-period moving average (green) at 23,813.944, but momentum is showing signs of exhaustion, as evidenced by the Stochastic Momentum Indicator (SMI) at 54.69%, which is in overbought territory. Resistance levels are at 23,396.239 and 23,813.944, and any price moves beyond these levels could be met with selling pressure. With the overbought condition and a potential bearish divergence, a short-term pullback or consolidation is likely. Traders should monitor for a potential reversal, with support at 22,000 and a stop loss below this level to manage risk.
Tuesday 24th June
The DAX index continues to trade within a rising channel structure, but warning signs are emerging that suggest a potential loss of momentum. Price remains firmly above both the 50-day SMA (pink) at 23,245 and the 200-day SMA (green) at 21,227, which keeps the broader trend intact and confirms underlying bullish support. However, the recent series of marginal new highs in price has not been matched by the Stochastic Momentum Index (currently at -39.73%), which has been trending downward—indicating strong bearish divergence between price and momentum. This divergence often precedes reversals or deeper pullbacks. The price is also pulling back toward the 14-day SMA (blue), which is now acting as dynamic support. Until price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the structure remains technically neutral, though vulnerable. Resistance is located at 24,000 then 24,200—both psychological and structural highs. Support is found at 23,200, followed by a more significant zone at 22,000. Traders should remain cautious of a potential reversal and may consider a stop loss just under the 50-day SMA to manage downside risk.
The 4-hour chart shows price attempting to rebound after a short-term corrective move from recent highs, with price currently hovering just below the 200-period SMA (green) at 23,807. The 14-period SMA (blue) and 50-period SMA (pink) are both flattening, converging near 23,400, which marks an important zone of short-term resistance. Price action remains within a narrowing rising wedge pattern, with the latest rally failing to print a new high, while the Stochastic Momentum Index has printed a series of lower highs, now recovering to 40.21%—but still showing bearish divergence relative to price. This suggests that while price has bounced, momentum is lagging, and a breakout is unconfirmed. For the bias to turn bullish, price must decisively break above 23,800. Resistance lies at 23,800 then 24,000, while immediate support is at 23,200 followed by 22,900. A close below 23,200 would signal renewed short-term selling pressure. Traders considering long positions should watch for momentum confirmation and set stops below 23,000 to protect against renewed downside.
Monday 23rd June
The daily chart reveals a weakening bullish trend shifting towards a neutral-to-bearish bias. Price action has recently rolled over after forming a series of marginal new highs, but with visibly lower highs in the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI), indicating bearish divergence—a classic warning of trend exhaustion. The price remains above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 23,184, but has lost support from the 14-day SMA, which has begun to flatten and turn lower, reflecting slowing upside momentum. The rising trendline support drawn from the November low is now at risk, and the SMI has sharply declined to –67.49%, confirming downside momentum has picked up. Despite this, the 200-day SMA at 21,201 is still well below the current price and continues to slope upward, anchoring longer-term structural support. If price fails to reclaim the 23,692 level (14-day SMA), a test of the 23,184 support is likely, with a further decline towards 22,200 if breached. Upside resistance remains at the recent swing high near 24,000, then 24,200. A stop-loss for short positions could be placed just above 24,050 to guard against a false breakdown reversal, while long positions should wait for a confirmed bounce above 23,692 before re-entry.
The 4-hour chart confirms a short-term bearish outlook, with the price consistently making lower highs and lower lows since peaking in early June. The price has fallen below both the 14-period and 50-period SMAs, which are now sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance, with the 200-period SMA at 23,808 also breached and now capping rallies. The Stochastic Momentum Index further supports the bearish view, displaying a sustained bearish divergence throughout May and June, as price made higher highs while momentum failed to confirm, and is now firmly in negative territory at –10.86%. This suggests continued downside momentum, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown below the 23,200 support level. Should this level fail to hold, the next significant support is near 22,800. Resistance stands at 23,800, near the 200-period SMA, and a stronger cap near 24,000. Short positions remain favoured, with tight stop-losses above 23,850, while bullish traders should wait for a confirmed breakout and recapture of the 200-SMA before considering entries.
Friday 20th June
The longer-term outlook remains bullish as the price continues to trade above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which is a key support level. Currently, the price is also well above the 50-day and 14-day SMAs, suggesting ongoing upward momentum. The immediate resistance is at 23,805, with the next significant level at 23,948. On the support side, the first key level lies around 23,149, followed by 22,776. The Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) shows some divergence, with the price moving higher while the SMI trends lower, indicating that bullish momentum may be weakening. Although the bullish trend is intact, caution is warranted as the Stochastic Momentum Index approaches overbought territory, suggesting that price might be due for a pullback. A stop loss around 22,776 would provide protection against a deeper correction, while the upside target is near 23,948.
The short-term outlook on the 4-hour chart is bearish, with price action suggesting exhaustion of the recent rally. The price is currently trading below both the 14-period and 50-period SMAs, indicating that downward pressure is building. The Stochastic Momentum Index is also showing a clear divergence, with the price making new highs while the SMI fails to confirm this momentum, indicating potential weakness in the trend. Immediate resistance is at 23,805, with the next resistance at 23,948. On the support side, key levels lie at 23,149, followed by 22,776. The SMI’s drop into negative territory further supports the bearish bias. Traders should look for a potential downside target near 22,776, with a stop loss placed just above 23,805 to mitigate risk if the price rebounds.
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